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Day 4 Stop War in Korea

A historic opportunity for President Trump to leverage diplomacy!
글쓴이 : 시몬 천 날짜 : 2017-08-12 (토) 05:37:16


트럼프와 북핵보다 더 위험한 것은 우리들의 안일함, 무관심 입니다.

 

백만명 넘는 미국 시민들이 트럼프 막말 규탄, 한반도 평화, 북미 외교 촉구하는 서명을 하고 있습니다.  815일 광화문에서 한민족 대 자주독립 선언과 함께 역사적인 평화 협정 체결 요구를 다짐하는 범 국민 평화 촛불 위해 미국및 유럽 전역에서 연대 시위가 준비되고 있습니다.

 

유럽 통합, 독일 통일이 유럽시민단체와 미국 평화 시민 단체의 꾸준한 30년 연대로 이루어 졌듯이 한반도 통일과 동북아시아 평화 통합도 아시아와 미국 시민단체의 연대로 성취할 수 있도록 오늘 대 한미시민평화운동을 시작합시다

 

그 첫 발걸음이 바로 지금입니다.

 

시몬 천 드림

 

 

"a historic opportunity for President Trump to leverage diplomacy in order to strike a deal with North Korea, thereby achieving what no other US president has been able to" Truthout 

 

Dear Friendan update on an emerging and great global peace movement to end a war in the Korean Peninsula, end all wars and abolish nuclear weapons! 

 

Korea's quest for peace is a cause close to our hearts, for it affects the stability of the entire area and indeed of our whole war-weary worldMay all of us dedicate these days to peace: to praying for it and deepening our resolve to achieve it. We cannot become discouraged in our pursuit of these goals which are for the good not only of the Korean people but of the entire region and the whole world. Pope Francis

 

The United States should agree that we would sign with them a mutual non-aggression pact. Jimmy Carter

 

As Pope Francis said, we give up our right to be discouraged in these hard times.  This peace movement is not for Korea per se, but for our children! 

 

The goal is a mutual non-aggression pact between North Korea and the United States of America!

 

Imagine 10 or 20 years from now a nuclear free Asia and a united and peaceful world led by our efforts! 

 

Now is the time for Koreans, Korean-Americans, our awesome American friends and all to work together! 

 

Please help us!

 

(Please pardon the promotion of my own article:))

Simone Chun. We Need a Mass Movement to Prevent Nuclear Conflicts in the Korean Peninsula. Truthout. August 10, 2017 시몬 천. 한반도에서 핵분쟁을 막기 위해선 범 시민 운동이 필요하다

On August 2, US Sen. Lindsey Graham paraphrased President Donald Trump's stance on the prospect of conflict in the Korean Peninsula as follows: "If thousands die, they're going to die over there." Less than a week later, on August 8, President Trump responded to North Korea's latest missile test by threatening to unleash "fire and fury" against Pyongyang, raising alarms throughout the international community. 

These statements were only the latest excerpts of the ongoing hostile dialog between North Korea and the United States since both parties signed an armistice 64 years ago. A peace treaty was never reached.

Will Trump's heightened rhetoric lead the Korean Peninsula to the brink of war anytime soon? Most likely not. As many analysts point out, deterrence still holds in the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia, despite bellicose rhetoric on both sides. The United States knows that North Korea now has the capability and willingness to strike back if attacked. North Korea knows firsthand the overwhelming power of the United States, well proven in the devastation visited on the populace during the Korean War, when more than 30 percent of Koreans were either killed or injured.

However, without strong public protest against his aggressive rhetoric and a unified demand for peace, Trump and the more hawkish among his retinue may well feel empowered to channel his "fire and fury" rhetoric into actions leading to nuclear conflict in the Korean Peninsula. That is why there must be immediate mobilization to stem Trump's moves toward the warpath.

While a war is not imminent in the Korean Peninsula as a result of Trump's bluster, the real reason for alarm is not what the president has said, but rather what he has done since being elected.

Donald Trump has proved to be the most hawkish president in modern history. During the first six months of his presidency, the United States has escalated the bombing of Iraq and Syria to unprecedented levels. By July 21, 2017, according to Foreign Policy, the Trump administration had dropped close to 20,750 bombs, nearly 80 percent of Obama's total for all of 2016.

Trump's hawkish policies have resulted in devastating costs to Iraqi and Syrian civilians. A military campaign of "fire and fury" in the Korean Peninsula would also carry staggering human costs.

There are more than 75,000 US troops stationed in South Korea and Japan, along with more than 136,000 US civilians in South Korea. In addition to all the lives that would be lost in North Korea as a result of US military action, millions of South Korean lives and many thousands of American lives will be in the range of North Korean firepower. This alone should rule out the prospect of military action in the Korean Peninsula.

Nor can US-led UN sanctions on North Korea achieve an effective solution. The North Korean regime has proven to be extremely resilient in enduring sanctions, the costs of which fall upon the most vulnerable of North Korea's citizens -- sick people, elderly people, and women and children who play no part in Kim Jong-un's policies.

Moreover, time is running out. Even if sanctions are successfully implemented, it will take months for them to take effect, during which time North Korea can continue to develop its missile and nuclear programs, and the cycle of hostile and bellicose exchanges can lead further down the path to war.

During his recent phone call with Trump, South Korean President Moon Jae-in stressed that "South Korea can never accept a war erupting again on the Korean Peninsula," insisting that "the North Korean nuclear issue must be resolved in a peaceful, diplomatic manner through a close coordination between South Korea and the United States." Indeed, the only viable option to end the current standoff is diplomacy, best exemplified in concrete proposals such as the freeze-for-freeze dictum, which proposes that North Korea freeze its nuclear and missile testing in return for the United States and South Korea halting their annual military exercises. More than 60 percent of Americans, regardless of political affiliation, support direct negotiation between the United States and North Korea, a sentiment shared by 80 percent of South Koreans. According to the latest survey by Chicago Council on Global Affairs, "Military action ... as in past surveys, lacks public support. Overall, 28 percent of Americans favor sending US troops to destroy North Korea's nuclear facilities."

North Korea's recent advances in bolstering its deterrence capability are creating a structural condition of deterrence buttressed by a balance of power in the Korean Peninsula. While this development represents a potential game-changer in the region, it also creates a historic opportunity for President Trump to leverage diplomacy in order to strike a deal with North Korea, thereby achieving what no other US president has been able to. Without a mass public mobilization demanding peace, however, Trump may feel empowered to push toward a nuclear conflict rather than seizing this opportunity for diplomacy. 

On August 10, a day after Trump's "fire and fury" threat, an emergency anti-war rally was held in front of the White House. Unfurling banners declaring, "no war," "reunification, not nuclear annihilation" and "who will keep us safe?" protesters called on the president to pursue diplomacy rather than conflict. H.K. Suh, the vice president of the National Association of Korean Americans, appealed to Trump to "stand down," warning that "one misstep could lead to catastrophe." Suh is one of hundreds of thousands of Korean-Americans fighting for a peaceful reunification of Korea. It's time for Koreans and Americans to unite in a people's movement of broad-based "fire and fury" against any attack on human security from any force in the Korean Peninsula. 

Copyright, Truthout. May not be reprinted without permission.

http://www.truth-out.org/news/item/41577-we-need-a-mass-movement-to-prevent-nuclear-conflict-in-the-korean-peninsula

 

Screen Shot 2017-08-11 at 6.31.01 AM.png

1. David Kang. NPR. What Americans Misunderstand About North Korea

deterrence still works……if the United States attacks us first, comma, we'll fight back. And that's what they're saying. And then, the American administration is saying, oh, yeah? Well, if you attack us first, we'll fight back. So it's still basically the same.

http://www.npr.org/2017/08/10/542546949/what-americans-misunderstand-about-north-korea

 

2. Secretary Mattis: War with North Korea would be `catastrophic’. American effort is diplomatically led

"My portfolio, my mission, my responsibility is to have military options if you need it,” Mattis responded. "However, right now, Secretary Tillerson, Ambassador Haley, you can see the American effort is diplomatically led, it has diplomatic traction, it is gaining diplomatic results. And I want to stay right there right now. The tragedy of war is well enough known. It does not need another characterization beyond the fact that it would be catastrophic."

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/mattis-war-north-korea-catastrophic/story?id=49146747

 

3. More than 60 members of Congress signed a letter to Trump demanding diplomacy

We strongly support your recent statements calling for direct talks with North Korea and offering assurances that our country is not their enemy and does not seek war or regime change.  This accords with the approach that 64 Members of Congress urged in the letter to President Trump, and is also backed by leading experts on US-North Korea policy, including former Secretary of Defense Williams Perry, former Secretary of State Schultz and former Senator Richard Lugar who have stated that our country “should make clear that the United States does not have hostile intentions toward North Korea”

https://conyers.house.gov/sites/conyers.house.gov/files/documents/Members%20of%20Congress%20letter%20to%20Tillerson%20081017_0.pdf

 

4. Dan Jasper. American Friends Service Committee. Now is the time for talks with North Korea. Zoom in Korea

I know diplomacy is possible. I work for the American Friends Service Committee, a 100 year old Quaker organization with the longest continuous work in North Korea of any current U.S. organization. We know the power of people-to-people initatives like assisting with sustainable farming practices following the famine in North Korea to maintain positive relationships across the current toxic divide between our two countries. Through diplomacy, we know we can build productive relationships, while a refusal to engage can only push us closer to war.

 

5. Korea Policy Institute. Open Letter to President Trump: Start Bilateral Negotiations Now

 

Cancel all war games, including Ulchi Freedom Guardian and Key Resolve-Foal Eagle

Negotiate a freeze of the D.P.R.K.’s nuclear weapons and ICBM testing

Remove THAAD from the R.O.K.

Normalize relations with the D.P.R.K.

 

The United States, as the most powerful of nuclear states, is uniquely positioned to provide the leadership needed to create a truly non-nuclear world. We thus call upon your administration to negotiate an agreement with the D.P.R.K., whereby the United States and the D.P.R.K. will set an example for all nuclear states to follow, by signing on to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, ratified by the United Nations on July 7, 2017, and which calls for treaty members to eliminate their nuclear weapons.

https://www.facebook.com/note.php?note_id=1605279572829433

 

6. Tim Shorrock. Democracy Now. Why Is U.S. Threatening War with North Korea Instead of Pushing for Negotiations?

 

And, you know, it was mentioned earlier about this idea for a freeze for freeze, North Korea freeze its nuclear development and missile tests in return for a freeze of these massive U.S.-South Korean military exercises that take place at least twice a year. And that’s a starting point that both China and Russia have very strongly endorsed and actually talked about at length at the U.N. Security Council last weekend and also at the meetings in Manila this week of the foreign ministers, where Secretary of State Tillerson was. But the U.S. has rejected, so far, this freeze-for-freeze idea, although Tillerson the other day said he would open talks with North Korea if they would suspend their missile tests for a while. So, I think the door is slightly open there for diplomacy, but this war talk is raising it to araising tensions to a very dangerous level. after having an hour-long conversation with President Trump, [President Moon said]that war is out of the question. There cannot be a military solution.  https://www.democracynow.org/2017/8/10/why_is_us_threatening_war_with

 

7. Stop the insanity. Don’t provoke war with North Korea

More than 90,000 signed. We need 100,000 signatures!

 

https://petitions.moveon.org/sign/stop-the-insanity-dont?source=s.fb&r_by=13681921

 

 


Chun photo.jpg

시몬 천

노스웨스턴대 국제정치학 강사

 

 


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