"절대적인 미국의 힘의 우위때문에 북한은 미국에 안보를 위협하지 않는다. 그러나 미국은 북한이 미국의 공격으로부터 독자적인 안보를 소유한다는 그 자체가 미국의 전 세계 헤게머니의 장기적인 도전이 될 것을 우려한다. 미국의 북한과의 전쟁은 바로 중국과의 전쟁을 의미한다. 트럼프의 무능력과 빈 깡통같은 허세가 미국에 대한 신뢰도 저하를 초래하고 한반도 문제뿐 아니라 전 세계 위협 요소가 되고 있다." –톰 빌 논평
“We urge all nations to abstain from war and from provocative rehearsals for war during the 2018 Winter Olympics and forevermore, never to be resumed". Olympic Truce
“When peaceful reunification comes, the first thing I want to do is to take my 90-year-old mother and go to her hometown". Moon Jae-in, President of South Korea
Dear Friend--the holidays are a time for happy reunions and vibrant festivities. For people who work for peace in the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia, this holiday season is a minefield of present discontent and fear of uncertain future. Yet, one finds some comfort in enduring people’s spirit for peace.
“Winds of war” or “winds of peace”
in the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia?
전쟁의 바람?
평화의 바람?
1. Pope laments 'winds of war' blowing around the world in Christmas message.
전쟁의 바람이 불고 있는 세계. 한반도 평화 기원 교황님의 크리스마스 메시지.
Lamenting "the winds of war" blowing around the world, Pope Francis in his traditional Christmas message on Monday… prayed that confrontation can be overcome on the Korean Peninsula.
http://www.catholicherald.co.uk/news/2017/12/25/urbi-et-orbi-pope-francis-laments-winds-of-war-blowing-around-the-world/
2. Foreign Policy. Global Rethinkers/ Moon Jae-in, President of South Korea.
포린 폴러시. 문재인 글로벌 사상가로 선정. 평화 통일 오는 날 90세 노모를 모시고 북한의 고향땅 방문 문재인 대통령 소원.
Moon’s pacifist leanings are the product of both faith and experience. He began his career as a democracy activist when South Korea was still a dictatorship and, like many in the movement, is a practicing Christian. His determination to seek peace echoes his beliefs as a devout Catholic, as does his commitment to public service and his social conservatism. When it comes to talking with Kim Jong Un, Moon certainly knows more about dealing with a dictatorship than his counterpart in the United States. His parents fled from the North as refugees. As he wrote in his book published in January: “When peaceful reunification comes, the first thing I want to do is to take my 90-year-old mother and go to her hometown.”
https://gt.foreignpolicy.com/2017/profile/moon-jae-in?utm_content=buffer0bf1f&1fea5800af=&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
3. Tim Beal. The Clown And The Rock. Korea Policy Institute.
톰빌, 한국정책연구원.광대와 바위. 절대적인 미국의 힘의 우위때문에 북한이 미국에 안보 위협하지 않는다. 그러나 북한이 미국의 공격으로 부터 독자적인 안보를 소유한다는 그 자체가 미국의 전 세계 헤게머니의 장기적인 도전이 될 것 미국은 우려한다. 미국의 북한과의 전쟁은 바로 중국과의 전쟁을 의미한다. 트럼프의 무능력과 빈 깡통같은 허세가 미국에 대한 신뢰도 저하 초래 한반도 문제뿐 아니라 전 세계 위협 요소가 되고 있다 논평.
North Korea poses no security threat to the United States – the huge disparity in power ensures that – but its successful defence of its independence does present a long-term challenge to US global hegemony. …War with North Korea means war with China. Some would go for that but it is a big decision, fraught with danger. No war but Trump’ s incompetence and his empty bluster risks a precipitous decline in American credibility that extends far beyond the Korean issue. If Russiagate does not succeed in removing Trump from power, will thoughts turns to other, non-constitutional means?...There was a two-and-a-half month pause in public deterrent testing after the 15 September launch of the Hwasong-12. No doubt technical reasons were part of the reason but there was speculation that this was a message from Pyongyang to Washington.[93] If so, it was a unilateral freeze that complemented the Chinese/Russia freeze-for-freeze peace proposals.[94] Since there are back-channel communications in place, the Trump administration would have been well aware of the overture. In any case, the administration rejected the overture. It put North Korea back on the terrorism list on 20 November and made it clear that it was going ahead with massive airstrike drills in coordination with the South Korean air force.[95]
http://kpolicy.org/the-clown-and-the-rock/
4. Nathan J. Robinson. If this is true, nothing else really matters. Current Affairs.
미국 북한 기습 공격할 것이란 보도및 중국도 핵 전쟁 같은 최악의 상태 준비하고 있는 듯한 최근의 동향을 견주어 볼때 한반도에서 상상을 능가하는 전쟁 상태 가능성 우려 분석.
Some sources suggest the U.S. is preparing for an attack on North Korea. That would be a catastrophe of unimaginable proportions…Ten days ago it was reported that China has begun to plan new refugee camps along the North Korean border, suggesting it sees war as a real possibility. China has also apparently distributed printed advice for how to survive a nuclear attack to residents along the border. Business Insider says that “the US and China are preparing for all hell to break loose in North Korea.”
https://www.currentaffairs.org/2017/12/if-this-is-true-nothing-else-really-matters
5. Mark Chandler. How the United States has bee preparing for North Korea nuclear war since the Forties. Sunday Express. 미국은 1940년대 부터 한반도에서 핵 전쟁을 준비해 왔다. 선테이 익스프레스.
Dramatic footage reveals the US Army preparing an arsenal of formidable weapons, military land vehicles and helicopters in the lead up to the Korean War.
Scenes showing how intercontinental missiles of the type used for nuclear warfare were provocatively tested during the height of tensions between the US and China, then a staunch ally of communist Korea.
20s mark. Unlimited nuclear warfare 한국 전쟁때 미국은 무제한 핵무기 준비했다는 충격적인 자료를 포함한 비데오.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/896225/World-War-3-North-Korea-Korean-War-US-Army-Kim-Jong-un
6. Tom O’Connor. What War with North Korea Looked Like in the 1950s and Why It Matters Now. Newsweek. 1950년대 북한과의 전쟁 어떠했나? 이차대전대 503,000 폭탄 투하 비교, 미국은 635,000톤 북한땅에 투하했다… 미국인들의 기억엔 존재하지 않는 끔찍한 한국 전쟁이 미국에 대한 북한 저항의 근본 원인이다. 미국인들에겐 냉전의 한 부분으로망각된 한국 전쟁은 북한 주민들에겐 대량학살 정도의 5분의 1 북한 주민이 희생된 비극 이었다 뉴스위크 논평.
During the course of the three-year war, which both sides accuse one another of provoking, the U.S. dropped 635,000 tons of explosives on North Korea, including 32,557 tons of napalm, an incendiary liquid that can clear forested areas and cause devastating burns to human skin. (In constrast, the U.S. used 503,000 tons of bombs during the entire Pacific Theater of World War Two, according to a 2009 study by the Asia-Pacific Journal.) In a 1984 interview, Air Force Gen. Curtis LeMay, head of the Strategic Air Command during the Korean War, claimed U.S. bombs "killed off 20 percent of the population" and "targeted everything that moved in North Korea." These acts, largely ignored by the U.S.' collective memory, have deeply contributed to Pyongyang's contempt for the U.S. and especially its ongoing military presence on the Korean Peninsula. http://www.newsweek.com/us-forget-korean-war-led-crisis-north-592630
7. Choe Sang-Hun. North Korea Won’t Stop Its Arms Tests Anytime Soon, South Korea Warns. The New York Times. 북한 빠른 시일내 무기 태스트 중지 않을 것. 뉴욕 타임지. 날로 증가하는 군사 갈등에 우려, 문재인 대통령 올림픽 기간동안 한미합동 군사 훈련 중지, 연기 국제 사회 호소.
Increasingly anxious over possible military conflict, President Moon Jae-in of South Korea proposed this month that his country and the United States postpone their joint military exercises, which were originally expected to start in late February.
Mr. Moon said the annual exercises, which North Korea has denounced as rehearsals for an invasion, could be postponed until after South Korea hosted the Winter Olympics in February and the Paralympics in March. Whether the allies will eventually delay the drills depends on whether North Korea conducts any weapons tests in the weeks leading up to the Games, South Korean officials said. Mr. Moon hopes to create a lull in the nuclear standoff during the Olympics and use it as momentum to start talks with North Korea. When North Korea said it completed its nuclear force following its ICBM test in November, some analysts said the North might now be open to stopping its program there and to start negotiating.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/26/world/asia/north-korea-nuclear-missile-tests.html
8. Meaning of UNSCR 2397: the new US-led sanctions on people in North Korea.
유엔 안보리의 최근 제제의 의미는 무엇인가.
북한에 대한 원유 제제는 도덕적인 면, 전략적인 면 막다른 골목으로 치닫게 한다. 그러한 정책에서 회귀하라. 존 델러리, 연세대 교수 직격탄.
Oil and food embargo is a “moral and strategic dead end. Reverse course!” (Prof. John Delury, Yeonsei University, Seoul, South Korea)
https://twitter.com/JohnDelury/status/945820998099656704
“UNSCR 2397 passed: less refined oil, less imports of industrial machinery. Meanwhile, China is lifting the so-called tourism ban, pump prices in PY are dropping, Chinese smugglers are making a fortune.” (from a comment posted on twitter) 유엔 북한 제재 의미는 중국의 밀수입자들의 쾌재를 부를 결과. 무고한 북한 인민들의 생존 위협 치명적인 영향 미칠 비인도적인 위협.
9. [News Analysis] New resolution on North Korea results from US, China compromise. The Hankyoreh.
The demand for Chinese participation in the interdiction of North Korean vessels in international waters was also reportedly downgraded from an “obligation” to “discretion of member states,” leaving it the same as the current sanctions. The US appears to feel that the threat of independent sanctions on China was effective, while the Chinese seem to be congratulating themselves on having managed to keep crude oil flowing to North Korea by sternly threatening to retaliate if the US pushed through its own sanctions.
http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_northkorea/824809.html
10. OP-ED. Tougher resolution aims to prevent war on Korean Peninsula. Global Times. 오직 전쟁 결과만을 초래했을 미국 프로포절 대안으로 러시아, 중국 중재안인 유엔 안보리 대북 제제 통과했다는 중국 편향 언론 보도.
The difference between the new resolution and the original US proposal reflects the will of China and Russia to prevent war and chaos on the Korean Peninsula. If the US proposals were accepted, only war is foreseeable. …Chinese society says no to North Korea's development of nuclear technologies but also feels sympathetic toward North Korean people that suffer the hardships. We hope the sanctions only target its nuclear development and missile activities. We do not want to hurt people's livelihoods or impair the stability of the regime. Beijing has endured mounting pressure from Washington. http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1081686.shtml
11. From the UN Special Rapporteur on Human Rights in DPRK.
유엔 인권 이사회 특별 절차 북한과 대화와 외교 강조.
With so many channels of engagement with the country opening up, the opportunities to promote effective reforms in the country for the benefit of human rights are plentiful, but there is also a need for the DPRK Government to show consistency and sincerity in its conversations with international actors….
유엔 사무 총장, 긴장 완화와 대화를 위한 정치적 해결책이 유일한 다음 스텝이다 강조.
The only way forward for a comprehensive peaceful and political solution requires de-escalation and open communication channels, now.
The Secretary-General supports the Security Council’s desire for a peaceful, diplomatic and political solution to the situation, as well as its urging of further work to reduce tensions. He reaffirms his commitment to working with all parties to this end. He calls upon all Member States to ensure the full implementation of the relevant Security Council resolutions and to redouble efforts to make 2018 a pivotal year for the achievement of sustainable peace on the Korean Peninsula.
12. Tom Z. Collina and Catherine Killough. “…the United States should seize on this Olympic moment to lay the groundwork for dialogue. The whole world will be watching.” Foreign Policy. 미국은 평창 동계 올림픽을 북미 대화를 위한 초석으로 이용하라. 전 세계가 주시하고 있다 미국 평화 시민 단체 멤버 논평. 북한의 테러 이미지 왜곡, 다소 센세이셔널한 내용 포함되어 있지만 전반적으로 중요한 내용 포함.
South Korea has already taken the first step to ensure that the Olympics remain peaceful by requesting that the United States delay the joint exercises. The Republic of Korea-U.S. Combined Forces Command said, “We want the Pyeongchang Olympics to be successful and have committed to our ally that we will aid their success.” But Washington has yet to announce its response. https://foreignpolicy.com/2017/12/22/will-north-korea-blow-up-the-winter-olympics/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
13. Kremlin says ready to mediate North Korea-U.S. talks, if both sides willing. Reuters.
러시아 북미 대화 중재 준비 되어 있다 로이터 통신.
In a phone call, Lavrov told U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson on Tuesday that “Washington’s aggressive rhetoric” and beefing up of its military presence in the region had heightened tension on the Korean peninsula and was unacceptable.
“The necessity of the fastest move to the negotiating process from the language of sanctions was underscored,” the Russian foreign ministry said in a statement.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-missiles-russia-us-kremlin/kremlin-says-ready-to-mediate-north-korea-u-s-talks-if-both-sides-willing-idUSKBN1EK0N5
14. The Economist reveals its country of the year. 이코노미스트 한국 2017년의 나라로 선정. 침착하고 우아하게 역경 극복했다.
In the end our shortlist came down to South Korea and France. South Korea has had an extraordinary year, enduring threats from its missile-wielding northern neighbour with calm and grace….South Korea had to cope with a crisis at home as well… In short, South Korea has made great strides towards cleaning up its domestic politics despite living under constant threat of nuclear apocalypse. https://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21732811-it-sober-argentina-plucky-south-korea-or-revolutionary-france-economist-reveals-its
15. Interview with the former Unification Minister sheds insight (in Korean).
정세현 전 통일부 장관 우수한 인터뷰.
Trump is not interested in solving the crisis but will use the current crisis to sell more weapons to SK and pressure China on trade.
President Moon’s recent visit to China indicates his commitment to serve as a balancer in Northeast Asia and pursue a pragmatic and balanced diplomacy and more assertive South Korean leadership by utilizing his 70% approval rating.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FnbHk6Qh0ys&feature=youtu.be
16. Venerable Pomnyun Sunim. Treating Kim like a king. Korea Joongang Daily.
북미 직접 대화 강조 법륜 스님.
This is how Kim would sell this to his people: The Kim dynasty looked America straight into the eye with great courage and undeniable righteousness, and America blinked first. Furthermore, presenting Kim Jong-un an opportunity to proclaim a meaningful historical place in the ethnography of the Korean people might be too tempting to refuse. In the end, let Kim have his personal victory if it means a nuclear-free Korea and no more North Korean people suffering needlessly. The sooner, the better. That would be a true foreign policy and moral victory for America. The achievement is worthy of the oft-touted negotiating prowess of President Trump.
“Winds of Peace”:
Guardians of Peace!
17. 12/23, 2017 People’s Assembly: Korean Peninsula Peace, Ganghwamoon Plaza, Seoul, South Korea. 2017년 한반도 평화 대회.
· 10,000 people participated in the People’s Assembly for Peace.
· Sponsored by the Peace Foundation and the Soldiers of Just Cause for Peaceful Unification
· Main messages:
o Korean peace means peace in Northeast Asia
o North Korea’s nuke problem should be solved through dialogue and diplomacy
o To stir the wind of peace and end the division
o To create a permanent peace regime and work for a unified Korea
o It is up to Korean people themselves who should be proactive and determine their fate, self-determination.
o To succeed the spirit of candlelight
o Candlelight visit 2: let us be guardians of peace and plant hope for peaceful unification.
10,000 People’s Peace Assembly appeal:
· To North Korea:
o Halt nuclear weapons and ICBM testing and come to negotiation and dialogue.
· To the United States:
o Stop altogether hostile, militaristic and provocative action against North Korea and talk with North Korea without conditions.
· To South Korea:
o Resume inter-Korean dialogue and help the US-North Korea bilateral talks.
o Send a special envoy to North Korea for resuming inter-Korean dialogue and implement a variety of measures and actions that help improve inter-Korean relations.
· To Korean major political parties:
o Pass a peace resolution in the Korean National Assembly that opposes war in the Korean peninsula.
o Dispatch bipartisan peace delegation to the U.S., Russia, China and Japan.
· To the United Nations:
o UN Security Council must pass the resolution that opposes war in the Korean Peninsula and supports the US-North Korean dialogue.
· To Citizens of Korea, Japan and China
o Create a unified Northeast Community for peace
o Solidarity for Olympics Truce from 2018 Winter Olympics, 2020 Tokyo Olympic, to 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics and beyond
o Use Olympics as foundations/cornerstone for peace in Northeast Asia
o China-Japan-Korean (CJK) Citizen’s Peace Network: Northeast Asian Peace Community (NAPC): 100,000 peace marathon by CJK members and supporters.
17. Urge World to Support the Olympic Truce
미국 평화 시민 단체, 전쟁 위협, 전쟁 연습 없는 동계 올림픽 화해 지지 전 세계 호소 서명!
The United Nations has asked its member states to observe an Olympic truce during the upcoming February 9-25 Winter Olympics in Seoul, south Korea, and for one week on either side. South Korea has asked the United States to delay its war rehearsal flight over South Korea after the truce. Please click below to sign a petition that can be printed out and delivered to the government of every nation on earth.
https://act.rootsaction.org/p/dia/action4/common/public/?action_KEY=13181
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