다음주에 또 거대한 한미합동군사훈련 (전쟁 게임)이 시작됩니다.
미국인들중 10명중 9명은 트럼프로 인해 한반도 위기가 악화되고 있다고 합니다. 70% 넘는 미국인들은 한반도 그 어떤 미국의 선제 공격, 전쟁을 반대합니다.
오늘은 미국 시민들의 대한민국 평화를 기원하는 글을 올립니다. 일일이 국어로 번역을 드리지 못해서 죄송합니다. 그런 미국인들의 열정과 지식에 감동하지 않습니까? 함께 공부합시다!
대한민국 정치인들과 시민단체들이 제2의 촛불을 들어야 합니다. 오직 대한민국 국민들만이 할 수 있는 일입니다. 한반도에서 전쟁 결사 반대의 국제 평화 운동의 촛불을 점화해 주십시오.
--시몬 천 드림
"Is North Korea going to attach? My answer is “No”. For 64 years, we’ve been predicting the second Korean war…64 years without a war. Deterrence works. Remember 22,000 American troops on the DMZ. Yes, Americans will die. Thousands of American people will die. American soldiers and American civilians will die…The cost of starting a war is so high…" Prof. Dave Kang. Director of the USC Korean Studies
"Less than 1 in 10 thinks Trump’s comments are making it better…. The poll found that 65 percent of Americans think Trump’s comments have made the situation between the U.S. and North Korea worse, including 45 percent who think he’s made the situation much worse." AP-NOR Poll
Friend—another massive U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises (“war game”) starts next Monday!
Here are some of the voices of intelligent, brave, and conscientious Americans for peace in the Korean Peninsula, Northeast Asia and the world.
My apologies for the lengthy list—people in South Korea, 150,000 American civilians in South Korea (plus 28,000 American soldiers stationed there), and millions of Korean-Americans are terrified by Trump’s threat of nuclear war. Please help us!
Informed and educated ordinary people will prevent Mr. Trump from starting a nuclear war!
1. Jimmy Carter Offers to Meet with Kim Jung Un to Avoid New Korean War
“Should former President Carter be able to visit North Korea, he would like to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and discuss a peace treaty between the United States and the North and a complete denuclearization of North Korea,” Park said, “and contribute toward establishing a permanent peace regime on the Korean Peninsula.”
http://readersupportednews.org/news-section2/318-66/46256-jimmy-carter-offers-to-meet-with-kim-jung-un-to-avoid-new-korean-war
The Christian Science Monitor. Jimmy Carter’s North Korea visit may trigger cooling-off period
https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Asia-Pacific/2010/0825/Jimmy-Carter-s-North-Korea-visit-may-trigger-cooling-off-period
2. David Baron and Nora Bensahel. War on Rocks. The Growing Danger of a U.S. Nuclear First Strike on North Korea
There are many reasons to believe a U.S. first strike against North Korea is now more likely than ever…. Is nuclear war on the Korean peninsula inevitable? No, but only if the Trump administration recognizes that a nuclear first strike cannot be a viable alternative, because its consequences are simply unfathomable. Deterrence is the vastly preferable option. The United States faced similar challenges after World War II, when the Soviets and then the Chinese developed nuclear weapons and the ability to strike U.S. targets. In both cases, arguments for American first strikes to remove these threats were soundly rejected in favor of long-term policies of deterrence — which have successfully avoided a nuclear conflagration for many decades. Effective deterrence requires only an adversary who is rational enough to seek his own survival — a threshold that even Kim Jong Un meets. Trump’s most trusted advisors and experienced veteran military men, John Kelly and James Mattis, should repeatedly make this argument to the president while there is still time. There is virtually no likelihood that North Korea can be pressured to give up its nuclear program at this juncture. Given that reality, the best way to advance U.S. national security and protect American lives is to publicly commit to deterring the Korean regime while privately removing threats to its survival. The alternative is a deadly nuclear first strike from which there will be no winners.
https://warontherocks.com/2017/10/the-growing-danger-of-a-u-s-nuclear-first-strike-on-north-korea/
3. Jessica Lee. The war that never ended: families separated by the Korean War
Our message to policymakers and members of Congress was simple: there are tens of thousands of Korean Americans and families of missing American servicemen who want our government and the government of North Korea to make progress on our divided families and POW/MIA remains recovery issues — which are humanitarian and should be separated from politics — before it’s too late.
Next Friday, October 20, 2017, CKA and the Coalition will host a public educational event at the Senate Dirksen Building to discuss these issues. Please visit http://summit2017.councilka.org/program/ for more information.
https://medium.com/@jesslee06/the-war-that-never-ended-families-separated-by-the-korean-war-d9f9a9b6b20b
4. Elizabeth Muray. Seattle Times. Opinion. With nuclear submarines in our backyard, isn’t it time to give peace a chance?
Indeed, Pentagon Papers whistleblower Daniel Ellsberg, a former nuclear-war planner who has just written a bookabout the nuclear threat in the Trump era, referred to nuclear weapons as a “movable Holocaust.”
https://www.seattletimes.com/opinion/a-plea-to-give-peace-a-chance-from-nuclear-submarine-epicenter/
5. We-Woon Koo. Mr. Trump, I live in South Korea, and You’re Scaring Me. Op-ed. The New York Times
In the late 1980s, when I was in third grade in South Korea, a teacher spent an entire class period telling us that the United States was deliberately keeping the Korean Peninsula divided so it could sell weapons to our country… My mother sighed as if I were a complete idiot. “If there is war, we will all die,” she said. “This is why I keep telling you to get out of the country before anything serious happens.” She does not say anymore that America will save us from the Communists.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/12/opinion/trump-south-korea-north-korea-nukes.html?action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=opinion-c-col-left-region®ion=opinion-c-col-left-region&WT.nav=opinion-c-col-left-region&_r=0
6. Peter Hayes. The Future of Conflict in the Korean Peninsula and Beyond: The War Dreams of Kim and Trump. The Asia-Pacific Journal Japan Focus
To date, it is evident that Trump does not care about Korea; about nuclear war; about strategic deterrence; or even about trade in terms that denote the description “presidential” in modern US history. He is a predatory president who uses American forces as a basis for threatening adversaries and allies alike, in order to keep them off balance and confused. At each point of maximum confusion, he attempts to extract some gain — an arms deal here with South Korea, an increase in China’s sanctions on North Korea there — so that he can point to the ensuing blowback as evidence of success that solidifies his political base.
This approach does not follow geostrategic logic and even favors the simultaneous pursuit of multiple and contradictory strategies. It is contrary to hegemonic leadership by consent because it rests primarily on the use of threat and coercion rather than shared values and institutional integration. In this sense, we are in a post-hegemonic interregnum; and Trump is simply a morbid symptom of this interregnum. http://apjjf.org/2017/19/Hayes.html
7. Vox. Sen. Chris Murphy: It’s time to take Trump’s threat of war against North Korea seriously and literally.
That’s why I sent out that series of tweets. I worry we have normalized his behavior and in retrospect this will be part of a catastrophic series of events leading to crisis. But if Republicans and Democrats made publicly clear he did not have the authority to engage in an unauthorized strike on North Korea, I don’t think that would be insignificant.
https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/10/11/16454978/chris-murphy-trump-north-korea-war
8. AP-NORC Poll: North Korea nuke advances spook most Americans
Less than 1 in 10 thinks Trump’s comments are making it better…. The poll found that 65 percent of Americans think Trump’s comments have made the situation between the U.S. and North Korea worse, including 45 percent who think he’s made the situation much worse.
https://apnews.com/c0c36d90e52444a08156e2498186d78a
9. Ed Markey, US Senator for Massachusetts, Leads Colleagues in Calling on Trump for American Diplomatic Campaign to Defuse Current Korean Crisis
Ultimately, Mr. President, a diplomatic solution requires your full moral support, and that of the public office you hold. The world is looking to the United States for steady, responsible leadership to resolve this crisis without a war that would cost so many lives. Congress stands ready to help you in this endeavor, but it must start with your administration putting forward a comprehensive strategy that puts diplomacy first, building momentum behind that strategy, and seeing it through to success. The path forward is not easy, but no effort could be more important or more worthwhile, and we urge you to embark on it without delay.
https://www.markey.senate.gov/news/press-releases/senator-markey-leads-colleagues-in-calling-on-trump-for-sustained-american-diplomatic-campaign-to-defuse-current-korean-crisis
https://twitter.com/SenMarkey/status/918213613625708544
10. Kent Boydston. American Opinions on Military Action and North Korea. Peterson Institute for International Economics
74 percent of Democrats and 61 percent of Republicans support a strike on North Korea only if North Korea attacks the U.S. or its allies first. A plausible explanation: about the same number of respondents from each party agreed that if the U.S. did launch a military strike on North Korea it would pose a major risk of starting a larger war in East Asia.
https://piie.com/blogs/north-korea-witness-transformation/american-opinions-military-action-and-north-korea?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
11. U.S./North Korean Standoff 101: How did we get here and how to get out? Christine Ahn, Eleana Kim, and Tim Shorrock
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WQ-jEhWfevA&feature=youtu.be
https://twitter.com/SimoneChun/status/918857379030089728
12. Representative Conyers. “Reaffirm Congress’s Power over a First Strike on North Korea. Be an Original Cosponsor of the No Unconstitutional Strike on North Korea Act
We write to request your support for this important piece of legislation that will seek to reinforce the intent of the Framers of the Constitution and ensure that President Trump cannot launch an unconstitutional strike that experts say would lead to catastrophic war on the Korean Peninsula.
Both the Constitution and the War Powers Resolution of 1973 already require an affirmative authorization from Congress before our nation engages in military action abroad against a state that has not attacked the U.S. or our assets abroad. As Section 2 of the War Powers Resolution of 1973 makes clear, absent a declaration of war or a specific statutory authorization approved by Congress, only a “a national emergency created by attack upon the United States, its territories or possessions, or its armed forces” can justify military action undertaken without Congressional authorization.
Few decisions are more needing of debate than a move to launch attacks, or declare war, on a nuclear-armed state such as North Korea. Military action against North Korea was considered by the Obama, Bush and Clinton Administrations, but all ultimately determined there was no military option that would not run the unacceptable risk of a counter-reaction from Pyongyang that could immediately threaten the lives of as many as a third of the South Korean population, put nearly 30,000 U.S. service members and over 100,000 other U.S. citizens residing in South Korea in grave danger, and also threaten other regional allies such as Japan. Recent polling [hyperlink] shows that more than two-thirds of the American people believe that the U.S. should attack North Korea only if North Korea attacks first, and Congressional debate would ensure the American people have a voice in the decision, as the framers of the Constutition intended.
This legislation adds an additional safeguard to the current prohibitions on waging war or unprovoked military action without Congressional approval by restricting any funds for such a strike unless there is an authorization from Congress that comports with well-established legal and constitutional standards. There are exceptions to account for current legal and constitutional standards for repelling a sudden attack, defending our allies, and rescuing U.S. personnel. The legislation also calls for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict.
If you have any questions, or if you would like to sign on, please reach out to Erik Sperling in Congressman Conyers’ office (erik.sperling@mail.house.gov, 5-5126)
13. Prof. Dave Kang. Director of the USC Korean Studies, USC. Enduring Truths about North Korea. Episode 1. “Deterrence Works”
Is North Korea going to attach? My answer is “No”. For 64 years, we’ve been predicting the second Korean war…64 years without a war. Deterrence works. Remember 22,000 American troops on the DMZ. Yes, Americans will die. Thousands of American people will die. American soldiers and American civilians will die…The cost of starting a war is so high…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pPJvu7O2i_I&feature=share
https://twitter.com/daveckang/status/918525744363401216
An encounter for fraternity: Former President Carter's visit to North Korea
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