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Time for real talk with North Korea!
±Û¾´ÀÌ : ½Ã¸ó õ ³¯Â¥ : 2017-12-04 (¿ù) 01:02:59

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"At the end of the day ¡¦ a diplomatic solution [will be] necessary for the conflict with North Korea," Hardt said¡¦. Germany, Britain and Sweden share the former East Germany's embassy compound in North Korea and are expected to continue their diplomatic missions despite Washington's latest warnings. Deutsche Welle

 

 

Taking the first step toward de-escalation by delaying or suspending the military exercises would not be a sign of weakness, but rather a sign of true leadership. John Rainwater

 

 

Time for Real Talk!

 

Dear Esteemed Friendan update on the war and peace in the Korean Peninsula, Northeast Asia, and the world!

 

In this 280-characters-twitter age, one thing that makes me envy about Russia is that it has Leo Tolstoy who wrote 587,257 words for his War and Peace. Tolstoy must have loved the cause (peace), humanity and his mother Russia so much that he poured 587,257 words: his heart!

 

With the same affection and respect for those who fight for peace in words and reasoning with their heart and souls, I include here long references on how the world is responding to the ongoing threat of nuclear war.

 

 

Even if you don¡¯t have either the time or interest to review all, just go on and click the link (21st¡¯s finger-tip revolution!); your little action will help these references populate and appear in search engines. (I shamelessly included my own, imperfect and unremarkable interviews as wellJ).

 

Please help us! Diplomacy Now!

 

1.Deutsche Welle. Germany to continue diplomatic ties with North Korea, CDU¡¯s Jurgen Hardt tells DW. µµÀÌÃë À£¸®. µ¶ÀÏÀº (¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ¾Ð·ÂÇÏ´Â) ºÏÇÑ°ú ¿Ü±³ ´ÜÀý ¾ÊÀ» °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ºÏÇÑ°ú ¿Ü±³°¡ Àý´ë ÇÊ¿äÇÏ´Ù.

 

"At the end of the day ¡¦ a diplomatic solution [will be] necessary for the conflict with North Korea," Hardt said¡¦. Germany, Britain and Sweden share the former East Germany's embassy compound in North Korea and are expected to continue their diplomatic missions despite Washington's latest warnings.

 

http://www.dw.com/en/germany-to-continue-diplomatic-ties-with-north-korea-cdus-j%C3%BCrgen-hardt-tells-dw/a-41600896?utm_content=bufferc366f&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

 

 

2.CNN International ½Ã¿£¿£. ÀÌ·¸°Ô °Å´ëÇÑ ¹Ì»çÀÏ °³¹ßÇÏ°í ÀÛµ¿ÀÌ °¡´ÉÄÉ ÇÑ ³ª¶ó´Â ¼Ò¼ö´Ù.

 

Footage shows North Korea's Hwasong-15 missile launch earlier this week. "There are not a lot of countries who could build a missile this big and have it work," one analyst said. http://cnn.it/2AhlIta

 

"This isn't just a big missile for North Korea this is a big missile in general," Michael Duitsman, also research associate at CNS, told CNN. "There are not a lot of countries who could build a missile this big and have it work." There's likely another test to come

 

http://www.cnn.com/2017/11/29/asia/north-korea-hwasong-15-missile/index.html?sr=fbCNN120117north-korea-hwasong-15-missile1014AMVODtop

 

https://twitter.com/cnni/status/936421261399482369

 

 

3.John Burroughs. Newsweek. We Can¡¯t Attack North Korea. It¡¯s Against the Law. ´º½º À§Å©. (¹Ì±¹Àº) ºÏÇÑÀ» °ø°ÝÇÒ¼ö ¾ø´Ù. ±¹Á¦¹ý À§¹ÝÀÌ´Ù.

 

À¯¿£ ÇåÀå 51Á¶ À§¹ÝÀÌ´Ù¡¦ ºÎ½Ã ÇàÁ¤ºÎ ÀÌÈÄ ¹Ì±¹Àº À¯¿£ ÇåÀå À§ÇåÇϴ ħ·« ÀüÀïÀ» ÀÚÇàÇØ ¿Ô´Ù.

 

Article 51 of the U.N. Charter does recognize ¡°the inherent right of individual or collective self-defense if an armed attack occurs ¡¦ until the Security Council has taken measures necessary to maintain international peace and security.¡± But since the George W. Bush administration, U.S. doctrine has permitted preemptive attacks against serious threats, particularly weapons of mass destruction. While the term is usually avoided, this is essentially a doctrine allowing preventive war. This August, Trump¡¯s chief of staff, General H. R. McMaster, broke protocol and referred to a possible ¡°preventive war¡± against North Korea. There was zero discussion at the hearing of the illegality of the U.S. attacking North Korea under the U.N. Charter....Yet as we learned from the Iraq War, there is great wisdom in the charter requirement that peaceful solutions, however difficult to achieve, take precedence over resorting to force. http://www.newsweek.com/we-cant-attack-north-korea-its-against-law-727009

 

4.John Burroughs. The Hill. Despite assurances, only Trump stands between peace, nuclear war.

 

¿ÀÁ÷ Æ®·³ÇÁ¸¸ÀÌ ÆòÈ­¿Í ÇÙ ÀüÀï »çÀÌ¿¡¼­ (¿î¸íÀ» °áÁ¤ÇÒ) À§Ä¡¿¡ ¼­ ÀÖ´Ù. ¸¹Àº ¹Ì±¹ ÀÇ¿øµéÀº Æ®·³ÇÁ ÇàÁ¤ºÎÀÇ ÇÙÀüÀï ÃÊ·¡ °¡´É¼º¿¡ ¿ì·Á, ´ëÅë·ÉÀÇ ÇÙÀüÀï À¯¹ß ¾ïÁ¦, ±ÝÁö ¹ý¾ÈÀ» ¹ÌÀÇȸ¿¡ Åë°ú½ÃÅ°·Á°í ³ë·ÂÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù. Some in Congress want to change that through legislation. Senator Markey said in the hearing that we cannot rely on civilian and military officials to delay or block the president from starting a nuclear war. Markey and Representative Ted Lieu (D-Calif.) have proposed a bill requiring Congressional approval for use of nuclear weapons (unless the United States or its allies are under nuclear attack). Another bill just tabled by Representative Adam Smith (D-Wash.) would simply declare that the policy of the United States is not to use nuclear weapons first.... Whether and how presidential authority to order nuclear strikes can be limited is a live, high-stakes question. We don¡¯t yet know the answer, but as tensions with North Korea escalate, and ¡°World War III¡± seems less and less like hyperbole, it¡¯s getting more urgent to find out. http://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/361344-despite-assurances-only-trump-stands-between-peace-and-nuclear-war#.WhRWfW1PqQg.twitter

 

 

the hill.jpg

 

 

5.John Rainwater. Op-ed, U.S. News & World Report.

 

Æ®·³ÇÁ ÇàÁ¤ºÎ´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ½ÇÇè, ¹Ì»çÀÏ ½ÇÇè µ¿°á Á¶°ÇÀÎ ÇѹÌÇÕµ¿ ±º»ç ÈÆ·Ã ÀáÁ¤ÀûÀ¸·Î Áß´Ü Çϰųª ¿¬±â Á¦½ÃÇÏ´Â ´ëÇѹα¹ Á¤ºÎÀÇ ¿ä±¸¸¦ ¹Þ¾Æ µé¿©¶ó. À§±â ¼öÀ§¸¦ ³·Ãß±â À§ÇØ (¹®ÀçÀÎ Á¤ºÎ°¡ ¿ä±¸ÇϵíÀÌ ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ Æòâ °Ü¿ï ¿Ã¸²ÇÈ ÀüÈıâÇØ) ±º»çÈÆ·Ã ¿¬±â ȤÀº Áß´ÜÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº (¹Ì±¹ÀÌ Çѹ̵¿¸Í ÁøÁ¤À¸·Î Á¸°æÇÑ´Ù¸é) ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ÁøÁ¤ÇÑ ¸®´õ½± Ç¥ÃâÀÌ´Ù.

 

Instead of responding in kind, the Trump administration should take South Korea up on its suggestion of a delay in joint military exercises and give the "freeze for freeze" approach a second look. Taking the first step toward de-escalation by delaying or suspending the military exercises would not be a sign of weakness, but rather a sign of true leadership.

 

https://www.usnews.com/opinion/world-report/articles/2017-12-01/trump-needs-real-diplomacy-with-north-korea?src=usn_tw

 

https://twitter.com/PeaceAction/status/936644595395391488

 

 

6.Robert Alvarez. End the 67-year war. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

 

67³â (Çѱ¹) ÀüÀï Á¾½Ä Ç϶ó. ÇÙ°úÇÐÀÚµéÀÇ ºÒ¸®ÅÏ.

 

ºÏÇÙ °³¹ß À§±â ´ëÀÀ Ŭ¸°ÅÏ ÇàÁ¤ºÎ¿Í ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇùÁ¤À» ÆıâÇÏ°í ºÏÇÑ Á¤±Ç ±³Ã¼¿Í ¼±Á¦ °ø°Ý Á¤Ã¥À» äÅÃÇÑ ¹Ì±¹ °øÈ­´ç ÇàÁ¤ºÎ°¡ ¿À´ÃÀÇ ÇÙ À§±â¸¦ ÃÊ·¡Çß´Ù.

 

In the end, the Bush administration¡¯s efforts to resolve the impasse on North Korea¡¯s nuclear programaka the Six-Party Talksfailed, largely because of the United States¡¯ adamant support for regime change in North Korea and persistent ¡°all or nothing¡± demands for a complete dismantlement of the North¡¯s nuclear program before serious negotiations could take place. Also, with the US presidential election nearing, the North Koreans had to have remembered how abruptly the plug had been pulled on the Agreed Framework after the 2000 election.

 

Dealing with the nuclear weapons state of North Korea¡¦ But the Agreed Framework and its collapse provide an important lesson about the pitfalls of the pursuit of regime change. Now, a nuclear arms control agreement may be the only way to bring this over-long chapter of the Cold War to a peaceful close. It¡¯s difficult to persuade someone to make a deal, if he is certain you¡¯re planning to kill him, no matter what he does. https://thebulletin.org/end-67-year-war11100

 

 

7. S. Korea does not see N.K. as crossing `red line¡¯ with new ICBM test.

 

"The government does not think that North Korea's latest test demonstrated full capability for an ICBM, including the re-entry technology and a precision guidance system. Seoul does not view the North as crossing the red line," Lee Eugene, vice spokesperson at the ministry, told a press briefing. Lee said that North Korea is likely to refrain from additional provocations for the time being if there is no sudden change in the current security situation. "If there is no extreme change in the situation or other external factors, North Korea is highly likely to refrain from additional provocations for the time being. For the North, a seasonal factor could be factored in," she said. http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/news/2017/12/01/0200000000AEN20171201006500315.html

 

8. Tim Shorrock. North Korea Tests Its Third ICBM: What¡¯s Next?

 

ÆÀ ½´¶ô. ¹Ì±¹ Á¤ºÎ´Â 60ÀÏ µ¿¾È ¸¸ÀÏ Æò¾çÀº ¹Ì»çÀÏ ½ÇÇè Áß´ÜÇÏ¸é ±èÁ¤Àº Á¤±Ç°ú Á÷Á¢ ´ëÈ­ÇÏ°Ú´Ù°í ¾à¼Ó Çß´Ù´Â º¸µµ°¡ ÀÖ¾ú´Ù. ±×·¯³ª ¹Ì±¹Àº (75ÀÏ µ¿¾È ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÆòÈ­ Á¦½ºÃÄ ºÒ±¸ÇÏ°í) Çù»óÀ» À§Çؼ­ ²Ä¦µµ ÇÏÁö ¾Ê¾Ò´Ù.

 

Cirincione, who called the ICBM test a ¡°very serious step forward¡± for the North, pointed to recent reports that the US government has said privately that if Pyongyang halted its testing for 60 days, that would be the signal Washington needed to begin direct dialogue with the Kim regime. Yet, despite the North¡¯s 74-day stoppage, ¡°we didn¡¯t move towards any negotiations,¡± he noted. http://lobelog.com/north-korea-tests-its-third-icbm-whats-next/


 

lobnews.jpg

 

 

https://twitter.com/christineahn/status/936324496134348800

 

 

9. NPR. How Diplomatic Engagement With North Korea Could Proceed

 

¹Ì±¹ °ø¿µ ¶óµð¿À. ºÏÇÑ°úÀÇ ¿Ü±³ °¡´É¼º. ¹Ì±¹ °íÀ§ ºÏÇÑ Àü¹®°¡: Æ®·³ÇÁ ÇàÁ¤ºÎ ÃëÀÓÀü ºÏÇÑÀº ¹«Á¶°ÇÀûÀÎ Çù»óÀ» ½É°¢ÇÏ°Ô °í·ÁÇß¾ú´Ù. ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ±âȸ¸¦ ³õÃÆ´Ù. ±×·¯³ª (ÃÖ±Ù ½ÇÇèÀ¸·Î ½Â¸®Çß´Ù°í ÀÚÃàÇÏ´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ ¼º¸íÀ» º¸¸é ÇÙ ¸ñÇ¥ ´Þ¼ºÇßÀ½À¸·Î) Çù»óÀ¸·Î Á¤Ä¡, °æÁ¦ÀûÀΠŸÇùÀ» ¹Ì±¹À¸·ÎºÎÅÍ ¹Þ¾Æ ³¾ Áغñ.

 

DIMAGGIO: Yes. In discussions I had with North Korean officials right after the Trump administration came into office, they made it quite clear that they were open to considering official talks without preconditions. I think that was a missed opportunity by the administration early on. Keep in mind that was before the heated rhetoric began, before the rocket man insults, which has really soured the atmosphere now.

 

But even still, I think with this test, it shows - and more importantly, with this announcement - that they have completed their nuclear force. It likely indicates that they're getting ready to perhaps move to negotiations to try to extract both political security as well as economic concessions.

 

https://www.npr.org/2017/11/29/567313555/how-diplomatic-engagement-with-north-korea-could-proceed

 

10. The New York Times. North Korea Says It¡¯s Now a Nuclear state. Could that Mean It¡¯s Ready Talk? ´º¿å ŸÀÓÁö. ºÏÇÑÀº ÇÙ º¸À¯±¹ÀÌ¶ó ¼±¾ðÇß´Ù. ÀÌÁ¦ ´ëÈ­ÇÏ°Ú´Ù´Â °ÍÀϱî? ¹Ì±¹ Àü µ¿ºÏ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ ´ã´ç °íÀ§ °ü·á: ºÏÇÑÀº ½Â¸®¶ó°í ¼±¾ðÇϸéÀ¸·Î¼­ ´çºÐ°£ µµ¹ßÀûÀÎ ½ÇÇèÀ» Áß´ÜÇÏ°í¡¦¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ºñÇÙÈ­ ¸ñÀûÀÌ ¾Æ´Ñ Çѹݵµ À§±â ¼öÀ§¸¦ ³¸ÁÖ´Â ¸ñÀû ´Þ¼º À§ÇØ Çù»ó Çϱ⸦ ±â´ëÇÏ°í ÀÖÀ»Áö ¸ð¸¥´Ù.

 

¡°The North Korean push for a nuclear missile deterrent is ¡®complete¡¯ when Kim Jong-un says it is,¡± said Daniel R. Russel, who served as assistant secretary of state for East Asian affairs until last March. ¡°He hasn¡¯t demonstrated a viable re-entry vehicle. He hasn¡¯t conducted an atmospheric nuclear test.¡± ¡°Instead,¡± Mr. Russel said, ¡°he¡¯s chosen to declare victory, which in my view means that he is likely to pause provocations in the expectation that China, or better yet the U.S., will start making proposals for de-escalation instead of denuclearization.¡±

 

11. S. Korea, U.S. not considering any military measures against N. Korea: Cheong Wa Dae

 

http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/news/2017/12/01/0200000000AEN20171201006751315.html?sns=tw

 

 

12. The New York Times. Seven Critical Truths About North Korea

 

(3) North Korea is rational, which means it¡¯s unlikely to start a war.

 

´º¿å ŸÀÓÁö. ºÏÇÑ¿¡ °üÇÑ 7°¡Áö Áø½Ç.

 

Áø½Ç (3) ºÏÇÑÀº À̼ºÀûÀÌ´Ù. ÀüÀïÀ» ½ÃÀÛÇÒ °¡´É¼ºÀº °ÅÀÇ ¾ø´Ù.

 

The ¡°good¡± news is that North Korea has no apparent intention of starting a war, which it would surely lose. In other words, no, North Korea is probably not going to nuke your city out of the blue. This often gets lost in portrayals of Kim Jong-un, North Korea¡¯s leader, as a wild-eyed lunatic. But while Mr. Kim might be eccentric, he has repeatedly proven himself to be rational. Ruthless and morally reprehensible, but rational. And no rational leader invites national suicide, which is all Mr. Kim would achieve by provoking a war.

 

https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/11/29/world/asia/north-korea-nuclear.html?referer=https://www.google.co.kr/

 

 

13. North Korea¡¯s ICBM won¡¯t cause a war but it will damage the United states¡¯ standing in the world ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙźµÎ´Â ÀüÀï ÀÏÀ¸Å°Áö ¾ÊÀ» °ÍÀ̳ª ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ±¹Á¦ À§»ó¿¡ Ä¡¸íÀûÀÌ´Ù. ´ëÇѹα¹Àº ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ºÏÇÑ ¼±Á¦ °ø°Ý °¡´É¼º¿¡ ½É°¢ÇÑ ¿ì·Á¶ó°í º»´Ù.

 

South Korean President Moon Jae-in indirectly captured this point when, in response to this week¡¯s successful test of a long-range missile by North Korea, he said, ¡°We must stop a situation where North Korea miscalculates and threatens us with nuclear weapons or where the United States considers a pre-emptive strike.¡± Precisely at the moment South Korea would be expected to be most dependent on, and solicitous of, the United States, its president is instead considering how to counter an American move. That speaks volumes, as does Trump¡¯s primary response to the launch: seeking the intervention of the Chinese in putting pressure on Pyongyang.

 

http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-rothkopf-war-with-north-korea-20171130-story.html

 

 

14. ¡®If US goes to war against N Korea, Pyongyang will fight back¡¯

 

¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ¸¸ÀÏ ºÏÇÑ°ú ÀüÀï Çϸé Æò¾çÀº ¹Ýµå½Ã ½Î¿ï Áغñ°¡ µÇ¾îÀÖ´Ù.

 

I think the Kim Jong-un government and North Korea made it very clear in their New Year¡¯s message to the nation that they were planning to go forward in what they call the final stage of the nuclear weapons program, so that DPRK would be understood to be a nuclear power by the world. And by having this kind of very advanced intercontinental ballistic missile test which was successful and traveled 2,780 miles straight up and could have, if flown horizontally, travelled about 8,000 miles, in other words, the distance to Washington DC. It is clear that the DPRK which has been treated as a rogue nation led by crazy people, a bunch of peasants, maybe ignorant, has in fact developed effective missile technology program and nuclear technology program which they consider to be existentially important for their having a deterrent against the menace that they perceive from the US the largest military in the world.

 

https://www.rt.com/news/411353-korea-military-us-missile-nuclear/

 

15. North Korea¡¯s ICBM Test is a Game-Changer: Will US Choose War or Peace?

 

ºÏÇÑÀÇ Åºµµ ¹Ì»çÀÏ. ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ¼±ÅÃÀº ÀüÀïÀϱî, ÆòÈ­Àϱî?

 

https://sputniknews.com/radio_loud_and_clear/201711301059554814-north-korea-icbm-test-is-a-game-changer-will-us-choose-war-or-peace/

 

Hyun Lee Çö¸® (Àç¹Ì±³Æ÷ ÆòÈ­ ¿îµ¿°¡). 3:50 minute mark: North Korea¡¯s goal...to come to the negotiating table as a nuclear power. Yesterday North Korea achieved that goal. ºÏÇÑÀº ÇÙº¸À¯±¹À¸·Î¼­ (¹Ì±¹°ú) Çù»ó¿¡ ³ª¿Ã°ÍÀ» ¿À·¡Àü ºÎÅÍ ÁغñÇØ ¿Ô´Ù. ±× ¸ñÀûÀ» ÀÌÁ¦ ´Þ¼ºÇÏ¿´´Ù¡¦

 

NK¡¯s pursuit of nuclear power is to move on to the next stage¡¦economic development¡¦ I am appalled by the lack of critical analysis in the mainstream media. ¡°Three nuclear-powered carrier groups with a full flotilla of support vessels, daily nuclear bombing runs, lurking nuclear submarines, massive war games involving decapitation strikes¡± by the United States do not pose a threat? Only North Korea poses a threat to the world? ºÏÇÑ ÇÙ Ãß±¸ÀÇ ±Ùº» ¸ñÀûÀº ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ À§Çù¿¡ ´ëÀÀ ÇÙÀ¸·Î ¾Èº¸¸¦ È®½ÇÇÏ°Ô ÇÑ ÈÄ °æÁ¦ °³¹ßÀÌ´Ù. ºÏÇÑÀº ÀÌÁ¦ ¿Ü±³¿Í Çù»óÀ» ÅëÇØ ´ÙÀ½ ´Ü°èÀÎ °æÁ¦ °³¹ß¿¡ ÁÖ·ÂÇÒ Áغñ°¡ µÇ¾îÀÖÀ» °ÍÀÌ´Ù...

 

https://twitter.com/SimoneChun/status/936331889249415168

 

https://twitter.com/SimoneChun/status/935943655264620544

 

 

 

Chun photo.jpg

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